July 2, 2025 /SemiMedia/ — DDR4 memory prices, which have surged since early 2025, may reach a peak and start to decline in the fourth quarter, according to a new market update from TrendForce.

The research firm attributed the recent spike in DDR4 prices to production cuts by suppliers and a wave of aggressive stockpiling across the market. However, the current momentum is unlikely to sustain through year-end. With prices now in a high range, suppliers are gradually releasing their inventory, potentially easing the tight supply conditions in Q4.

Meanwhile, DDR5 prices have remained relatively stable. TrendForce projects a moderate quarter-over-quarter increase of 3% to 8% in Q2 and Q3 2025. Some second-tier OEMs reported difficulties in negotiations, citing suppliers’ expectations of further price hikes and limited room for price adjustments.

Citing data from Chinese media reports, 8GB DDR4 3200MHz spot prices rose from $1.63 in January to $5.10 by June, marking an increase of nearly 220%. The 16GB version jumped from $3.50 to $12.80, a rise of more than 260%. LPDDR4X, a low-power variant, also saw prices surge by over 50% for certain models. In the Chinese retail market, Kingston’s 16GB DDR4 3600MHz module surged over 30% in a week, from $27.5 to $37.3. In some cases, DDR4 prices have even surpassed DDR5, causing unusual market distortions.