According to the latest survey by DRAMeXchange, the demand for smartphones and servers will be lower than expected this year due to the impact of the trade war. In addition, CPU out-of-stock affects notebook shipments. Shipments of eMMC / UFS, SSD and other products may also be lower than expected in the third quarter, and the downward trend of contract prices may continue.
According to the survey, the average contract price of NAND flash has dropped by nearly 20% for two consecutive quarters, and there is no expected price rebound. TrendForce said that despite the international trade tension and other unfavorable factors, demand conditions in the third quarter are still expected to improve, and contract price declines may slow down. However, as the shipments in the second half of the year may drop significantly, it is expected that the contract price will not rise.
For eMMC / UFS and SSD, smartphone and notebook suppliers are expected to increase their stocking capacity in the third quarter, plus the previous two seasons have undergone a large price correction, it is expected that the contract price decline will be slower than the previous two quarters, about 10%.