According to the supply chain, the inventory adjustment of passive component manufacturers has come to an end. In the long run, the industry may be oversupplied, and the MLCC price in the second quarter may fall by about 10%.
Overall, the MLCC price may continue to fall in the first half of this year due to the fact that terminal demand has not been significantly recovered. In the long run, Taiwanese producers will provide another 10% to 15% of capacity per year, and Japanese producers will gradually release production capacity. Among them, Muruta is expected to expand by 20%. Although driven by 5G and automotive electronics, market demand is expected to increase by 5% to 10%, in the long run, the price of MLCC and R-Chip may continue to fall after Japanese producers release production capacity.